1. Partick Mahomes II - #5 Texas Tech, 6'3'' 215, 93 - Strong armed gunslinger who led the FBS in passing. Very mobile and great at throwing in chaos. He makes a lot of ridiculous mistakes. That said he is exciting and willing and able to make throws most aren't. Has a bit of a wind up but a laser quick release. Has the most arm talent in this draft, perhaps the most I've seen. The questions for him will be if he can learn a pro-style offense, limit his mistakes and correct his inconsistent mechanics. The talent is there in spades.
2. Mitchell Trubisky - #10 North Carolina, 6'2'' 222, 90.5 - Mitchell only started 1 year at North Carolina and played almost exclusively out of the shotgun. He has above average arm strength but not elite. His film is inconsistent but the most consistent in this class. Some games he is wildly inaccurate. Other games he is right on the money and even throws a nice deep ball. Excellent mobility and scrambling ability. He does have all the tools you look for in a franchise QB but there is some bust potential.
3. DeShaun Watson - #4 Clemson, 6'2'' 221 4.66, 88.5 - Big game performer who thrives under pressure. Elite athlete and leader. Has the footwork and poise you are looking for. Arm strength and accuracy are plenty good enough. Tends to stare down his receiver. Does not not have elite size. Thin. Watson has the ability and intangibles to be a franchise QB. He does show his fair share of flaws on film. He played in a shotgun/spread offense and will likely need time to grow and develop.
4. Nathan Peterman - #4 Pitt, 6'2'' 226 4.82, 78 - Holds the ball high and has a tight compact delivery. Arm strength may be an issue at the next level but he has touch and accuracy, even on deep throws. Stats don't blow you away, played in a complex run oriented offense that required him to make a lot of pre-snap reads. Better thrower on the move and may struggle to be a pocket passer in the NFL. Lacks ideal height. Has ball security issues, especially when he's on the move. Was dropping the ball all over the place against Virginia Tech. Peterman has some limitations but he may have the best intangibles of this years QB prospects.
5. Chad Kelly - #10 Ole Miss, 6' 1 1/2'', 224, 73.5 - Kelly's draft stock is hurt badly by a severe knee injury and off the filed problems. He is the nephew of Hall of Fame QB Jim Kelly. If you just look at the film he looks like someone that can play. Arm strength and accuracy are good. He has good feet to extend plays and run the ball. Plays an exciting brand of football but is inconsistent in all areas. Kelly's mechanics seem half hearted at times and he doesn't commit to every throw. Is a bit undersized. He has a quick release but not elite. Kelly's injury and off-field concerns may turn him into a late round sleeper. I'd have him rated a hair ahead of Nathan Peterman without the injury.
6. DeShone Kizer - QB #14 Notre Dame, 6'4'' 230 4.83, 69.5 - Kizer has all the tools but might be the most inconsistent QB in this draft. Big strong arm with a good release and the ability to make all the throws. Mechanics are good but not consistent, especially on the move. Good runner but not a great thrower on the run or in traffic. Tape is inconsistent to the point where you can call him inaccurate. Is entering the draft with very low stock coming off a 4-8 season where he was benched. Teams will have to decide what to make of Kizer's regression in 2016. It won't surprise me to see a team fall in love with his talent and take him in the 1st Round.
7. Brad Kaaya - QB #15 Miami, 6'4'' 216, 65 - Pro-Style game manager who is accurate on short routes and throws a catchable ball. Excellent mechanics and footwork. Average athlete and arm talent. Inaccurate on intermediate and deep routes. These issues may not improve if arm strength is at cause. Could probably benefit from adding bulk and strength. Plays a little stiff. Kaaya may be more NFL ready than some due to playing under center. He has less upside than others in this class.
8. Davis Webb - #7 Cal, 6'5'' 229 4.79, 63 - Huge QB prospect with average athleticism and arm strength. Does have the ability the drive the ball between the hashes when his feet are set. Rarely shows good arm strength on any other type of throw. Feet are active and quick. Decision making is suspect and he predetermines his receiver too often. Completion % was low despite the majority of throws being short passes. Webb is not the elite prospect that his predecessor Jared Goff was and we all saw how well his transition is going.
9. Joshua Dobbs - #11 Tennessee, 6'3'' 216, 60 - Good running QB but probably not a good enough passer to make it in the NFL. He does have a strong arm and some tools to work with. Came on late in his career. His stats from his last 5 games were head and shoulders above the rest of his career.
Potentional Late Round/Undrafted Sleepers
C.J. Bethard - #16 Iowa, 6'2'' 219 - Good mechanics and played in a pro-style system. Had some games where he looked really good on film. You have to go back to 2015 to find them.
Cooper Rush - #10 Central Michigan, 6'3'' 228 4.93 - Check down machine with a really sweet name! He doesn't have the arm strength to get it done. He does have the intangibles and that takes a lot of undrafted QB's a long way.
Seth Russell - #17 Baylor, 6'3'' 213 - Got hurt a lot in college but has talent.
Antonio Pipkin - #2 Tiffin, 6'1'' 225 - Not gonna lie, I just wanted to watch tape on a guy named Pipkin from Tiffin. He's not bad. He can run and might have a chance to stick somewhere. I'd be surprised if he's not at least in a teams training camp.
Sefo Liufau - #13 Colorado, 6'3'' 232 5.08 - Has the toughness and leadership you look for but not the production. Might be able to play special teams.
Wes Lunt - #12 Illnois, 6'5'' 225 - Lunt has prototype size and enough arm. Not much else.
